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RacingBetter News 436b3 |
| Thursday 22nd September 2022 | |
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Betting Preview s196i
The Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting markets have once again gone into overdrive as the greatest middle-distance horses in Europe and beyond do battle at Longchamp. Forget the rest, the Arc is simply the best race on the planet. Yet in addition to the majesty of watching the star thoroughbreds on the track, it also opens up a world of limitless options for those who love a bet on horse racing. This year there is no one truly outstanding contender, which offers punters bigger Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds than has often been the case in recent years. But who wins? Here, our team of horse racing betting experts assess the chances of the major contenders before nominating their best bets for the great race on October 2: 5r4x4y
Luxembourg 2d504q
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien 4w423t
Owners: Westerberg, Mrs J Magnier, M Tabor, D Smith 1f1j1p
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 15/4 5t6z52
The three-year-old son of Camelot was touted as the next big thing following his exhilarating success at Doncaster last autumn. But then plans had to be shelved after he sustained a nasty injury in the 2000 Guineas.
It was entirely predictable that Luxembourg made a sluggish return to the fray in August, but his victory in the Irish Champion Stakes was much more like it and should set him up a treat for the Arc. A textbook improver from the all-conquering Ballydoyle yard, he will be at his peak at Longchamp and seems destined to thrive for a step up in trip.
Alpinista 1w170
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott 1p5s1e
Owner: Kirsten Rausing 4m4d13
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 7/1 5r2q5i
The five-year-old grey now officially belongs in the supermare category. She is now unbeaten in seven starts, five of which in Group One company. Alpinista has everything you need for an Arc runner. There are no stamina issues, nor are there any quibbles with the ground.
She has a turn of foot when it matters and yet she also has the stamina and resilience. The daughter of Frankel also gets weight from many of her rivals. This will be her toughest assignment by far, taking on some of the best colts in the world, but the suspicion remains that we have still not yet seen the best of her on a racecourse.
Titleholder 4t3h6n
Trainer: Toru Kurita 286w1i
Owners: Hiroshi Yamada m95t
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 17/2 3f546m
Japan’s obsession with trying to win the Arc has become the stuff of Turf folklore, but could this finally be their year? In the shape of Titleholder, they unquestionably have one of their best chances of glory for many a year.
The four-year-old son of Duramente has been imperious in his homeland, with his awesome Grade One triumph at Hanshin in June the high-water mark. What has impressed observers most about him is his ice-cold temperament, which will serve him very well indeed for the melting-pot atmosphere of Longchamp.
And having won over two miles earlier in the season, his ers can rest easy in the knowledge that he will get the Arc trip doing proverbial handstands.
Torquator Tasso 1z5242
Trainer: Marcel Weisse q4t1e
Owner: Gestut Auenquelle 6j2d46
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 8/1 1u4p3d
It might have sent shockwaves across the world of racing, but last year’s 72/1 victory in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe was no fluke as he ripped up the Longchamp straight before staying on for a stunning success for .
Torquator Tasso’s form has since been a little unpredictable, but he ran a stormer in the King George at Ascot before finishing a slightly unlucky second in the Grosser Preis von Baden in early September.
The five-year-old son of Alderflug would appreciate another Arc contested in a quagmire, but this year’s renewal does not look as strong as the 2021 edition. He clearly comes alive at Longchamp so it would be folly to dismiss his claims of a famous double.
Adayar 6x12o
Trainer: Charlie Appleby 3v4lc
Owner: Godolphin 1e2q59
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 17/2 3f546m
Last year’s Derby and King George hero has only been sighted once this season following a long-term injury, but the engine looked intact in that cakewalk success in a small race at Doncaster.
He is arguably the classiest horse in the line-up and was not beaten too far in last season’s Arc, when the bottomless ground proved his undoing late on. His excellent trainer would not have given this race a second thought if he did not believe Adayar was ready to prove to the world just how good he is.
Ignore him at your peril – especially if the ground is riding quicker (which seems likely) than last year.
Vadeni 3j4264
Trainer: Jean-Claude Rouget c3v3e
Owner: HH Aga Khan 2n1m25
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 9/1 13273l
Unquestionably the pick of the home team. It is a great pity that is not better represented in this year’s Arc, but Vadeni nonetheless has the qualities to win the great race for Jean Claude-Rouget and the Aga Khan.
The three-year-old colt is a three-time Group One scorer this season and produced a career-best with a gutsy success in the Eclipse at Sandown. Much was expected of him in the Irish Champion Stakes, but he did not have the run of the race that day and could only finish third to Luxembourg.
There are a few stamina doubts, but he gets weight from his elders in the Arc and will be a danger to all if he stays the distance and avoids trouble in running.
Onesto 52636
Trainer: Fabrice Chappet 3s5l1n
Owner: Gerard Augustin-Normand b6pn
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 12/1 h5p6v
This season’s surprise Grand Prix de Paris winner obviously knows the Longchamp terrain well and proved that run was no misnomer by getting to within half a length of Luxembourg in the Irish Champion Stakes.
He was, however, beaten out of sight by Vadeni in the French Derby. He should have a good shout if that Irish Champion form is taken at face value, but he was all out in the Grand Prix de Paris and might get tapped for toe against these far superior thoroughbreds.
Westover 2x2gq
Trainer: Ralph Beckett 6p28v
Owner: Juddmonte Farms Ltd 3r2r5y
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 14/1 2m1162
Having been so unlucky in the Derby at Epsom, the Frankel colt happily set the record straight with a jaw-dropping success in the Irish equivalent. He was, however, far too keen in the King George and was beaten some 18 lengths.
That run obviously invites all manner of questions, but he will have no problem with the ground or the trip and is a high-class animal from an operation that will forever be inextricably linked with the Arc. A long break since the King George might have done him the world of good, but he now has it all to prove.
La Parisienne 6b1no
Owners: Peter R Bradley III, Marc Leonetti 3a2b6c
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds: 20/1 6j1463
The three-year-old daughter of Zarak will hardly be known outside of her homeland, but she is a serious contender at a massive price. Beaten just a neck by Nashwa in the French Oaks, La Parisienne then produced a wonderful performance in adversity to finish third in renowned Arc trial, the Prix Vermeille. She was desperately unfortunate that day and yet only beaten a neck by Sweet Lady.
This is much tougher, of course, but she is a high-class filly and might have been undervalued in the markets given her relatively unheard-of connections. Fascinating contender.
The Verdict: 705t6t
Luxembourg and Alpinista set the standard, but they do not represent value – especially the former. To that end, it might be worth keeping the faith with VADENI. A quality colt who will handle whatever Mother Nature throws at him, the home challenger rates a major player if he can take within his stride this step up to a mile and a half.
At an even bigger price, the unheralded LA PARISIENNE makes plenty of each-way appeal. In receipt of all sorts of allowances, she should be bang on the premises if she can replicate her eyecatching performance in the Prix Vermeille.
*Odds subject to change and were correct at the time of publication
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